Every bet is public. Every wallet, every move — all on the blockchain.
Nobody had the tools to analyze it all. Until now.
“A man always has two reasons for doing anything: a good reason and the real reason.”
— J.P. Morgan
PolyCheat reveals the real reasons
A wallet buys $200K of YES 2h before a vote — coincidence?
3 linked wallets deposit $500K and bet identically on a political market.
Top 50 traders pivot to NO — the market hasn't moved yet.
On Polymarket, it's an order book. When someone wins, someone else loses the exact same amount. The question is: which side are you on?
The vast majority of prediction market participants lose money long-term. They bet with emotions, follow the crowd, and don't analyze the data. It's the Pareto principle: 20% of wallets capture most of the gains.
Market makers buy AND sell on every market. They don't bet on outcomes — they capture the spread between bid and ask. With hundreds of millions in volume, even 1% margin = millions in profit. They're the real winners.
Every trade is recorded on the blockchain. When a whale buys $100K of YES on a political market, it's visible to everyone. The problem? Nobody's watching. PolyCheat monitors everything, 24/7, and shows you exactly what smart money is doing.
Prediction markets are exploding. Those who understand the flows profit from them.
Market makers on Polymarket capture an average of 1-2% of the volume they process through spread capture. With $22 billion in volume on Polymarket in 2025, that represents $220M-$440M in collective profits.
In 2022, prediction markets did $500M in volume. In 2025, it's $63.5 billion. Bloomberg and CNBC project $1 trillion by 2030.
Smart money is already here. PolyCheat shows you exactly what they're doing.
Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Eilers & Krejcik, Citizens Financial Group
When MMs collectively lean YES on a market priced at 60%, the true probability is likely higher. Their positioning is the most honest signal.
By tracing the real wallet (EOA) behind each Polymarket proxy, we see if a trader hedges on DeFi, holds stablecoins on Arbitrum, or runs multiple accounts.
When a single whale holds 80% of a market's open interest, the resolution price is fragile. Our HHI index flags these markets before they blow up.
Our crowding score identifies markets where everyone's on the same side. History shows these resolve against the crowd more often than expected.
Five modules, one mission: find the signal in the noise.
Our worker continuously analyzes the entire Polymarket blockchain. Every trade, every deposit, every withdrawal.
Automatic detection algorithms: Market Makers, Whales, Bots, Live traders.
For each wallet: PnL, volume, win rate, open positions, strategy, risk level.
With all this data, you know exactly who wins, how, and why.
~52%
of wallets lose money on Polymarket
It's an order book: every dollar won by a trader is a dollar lost by another. PolyCheat shows you exactly who these winners are, how they operate, and which markets they position on.